Campaign signs line Highway 101 in Reedsport shortly before the November 2024 election. Photo by Bob Keefer.

More Seats Than Candidates

More than 58 percent of Lane County races are uncontested in the November general election

Those registered to vote in Oregon will find their ballots looking a tad bare this November. There aren’t fewer races, though. There are fewer candidates. 

Of the 36,049 nationwide political races that Ballotpedia has analyzed so far this year, 75 percent were uncontested — they had only one candidate vie for the position. Ballotpedia is a nonpartisan, nonprofit digital encyclopedia of American politics.

In Oregon, it’s closer to 78 percent of races that are uncontested. That number will only increase following the November general elections, as in Lane County alone, 46 of the 78 government seats residents will vote to fill are uncontested. This includes state, county, district and city positions, such as Lane County Sheriff — Clifton G. Harrold — and three state representative seats.

This isn’t new for Lane County. 

In the 2020 general election, 41 of 73 positions were uncontested or had no candidate, or 56 percent of races. In 2016, it was 40 of 75, or 53 percent. The number of candidates filing has decreased, too. A total of 117 candidates filed for the 2024 general election, compared to 130 candidates filing in 2020 and 147 in 2016.

Chandler James, an assistant professor of political science at the University of Oregon, says Ballotpedia’s findings challenge “our basic principles when it comes to our value of democracy.”

“Electoral competition adds accountability for candidates,” he says. “If they know that they’re going to have a competitor, then they behave differently than if they believe that their position is secure. Furthermore, it provides voters a choice. And when voters are given a choice, they’re actually able to provide information and express their values and their beliefs regarding how the government should operate.”

If contested races are so important for our democracy, then where are all the candidates going?

First, it’s important to note that Oregon’s primary election in May helped determine who would be appearing on the ballot for the general election. In order to be the only one vying for a seat in the local general election, candidates must win a simple majority, or 50 percent plus 1, of the vote. 

Take, for instance, the race for Eugene mayor. In May, Kaarin Knudson faced Stefan Strek and Shanaé Joyce-Stringer for the Eugene mayoral seat. Knudson won the primary election with a simple majority — over 73 percent — so her name is the only one that appears on the November ballot.

However, not all uncontested races in the general election are decided in the primary.

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Photo courtesy Rachel Bitecofer

Rachel Bitecofer, a nationally renowned political strategist and elections forecaster, says there are multiple reasons why local races that aren’t decided in the primary election go uncontested in the general. 

“To run for office is very labor intensive, and people are very disincentivized to do that when they sense that they can’t win,” Bitecofer says. There are many factors that impact whether a candidate believes they can win, but one of the largest is party identity.

In 2020, “we figure that 96 percent of people who are Democrats or independents who lean Democrat voted for the Democrat, 96 percent of the Republicans and the people who said they lean Republican voted Republican,” Bitecofer says. “When I say that partisanship is the be all, end all of vote choice, I mean it.”

With partisanship playing such an integral role in vote choice, she says, it’s unlikely that a Republican running in a Democratic district or vice versa would win against an incumbent who aligns with the district’s political party. That doesn’t even begin to touch on the public’s overwhelming lack of interest in local politics.

“For most people, politics begins and ends at the presidency,” she says. “With local politics, people think, ‘Oh, it’s local, so it’s close to people. It’s going to be something that they’re much more interested in.’ It’s actually the exact fucking opposite.”

However, James says voters should still pay attention to the uncontested races and consider whether or not to ink in that little oval, even if it won’t affect who takes office.

“It matters for candidates,” he says. “It can have some symbolic value depending on the number of votes that are cast relative to the number of votes cast in other races.” For instance, if 10,000 people vote on a contested race but only 5,000 people vote on an uncontested one, it sends a message to the uncontested candidate.

Both James and Bitecofer agree that, when it comes time to fill out your ballot, it’s important to vote in every race. Even if your vote is against an uncontested candidate.

“You never know if you’re going to be the [tiebreaker] vote,” Bitecofer says.

Uncontested Races in Lane County

State

State Representative, 8th District: Lisa Fragala 

State Representative, 10th District: David Gomberg

State Representative, 14th District: Julie Fahey

Judge of the Supreme Court, Position 1: Stephen K. Bushong

Judge of the Supreme Court, Position 7: Bronson D. James

Lane County

Lane County Sheriff: Clifton G. Harrold 

North Commissioner Position 4: Pat Farr

South Commissioner Position 3: Laurie Trieger

City

Coburg Mayor: Nancy Bell

Cottage Grove Councilor, Ward 2: Randell Lammerman

Cottage Grove Councilor, Ward 4: Greg Ervin 

Dunes City Mayor: Ed McGuire 

Dunes City Councilor: Chris Clemons 

Eugene Mayor: Kaarin Knudson 

Eugene Councilor, Ward 1: Eliza Kashinsky 

Eugene Councilor, Ward 2: Matthew K. Keating 

Eugene Councilor, Ward 7: Lyndsie Leech 

Eugene Councilor, Ward 8: Randy Groves 

Florence Mayor: Rob Ward 

Junction City Mayor: Ken Wells 

Lowell Councilor, Position 2: Jimmy Murray  

Lowell Councilor, Position 3: Maureen Weathers 

Lowell Councilor, Position 5: Gail Harris 

Westfir Mayor: Shawn Anderson 

Westfir Councilor: Linda M. Love 

Eugene Water & Electric Board

Wards 1 & 8: Tim Morris 

Wards 2 & 3: John Barofsky 

Wards 6 & 7: Sonya Carolson 

Springfield Utility Board 

Position 1: David C. Willis 

Position 2: Teresa (Terri) Dillon 

Position 4: Ryan Thomas 

Position 5: Bruce K. Webber 

Linn Soil & Water Conservation

Director, Zone 2: Hans D. Coon 

Director, Zone 4: Delani Herb 

Director, Zone 5: Kreston J. Koziuk 

Director, At Large 1: Steven R. Kendall 

Siuslaw Soil & Water Conservation

District Director Zone 2: Raymond (Ray) E. Kinney 

District Director Zone 3: Kevin Carroll 

Upper Willamette Soil & Water

Director, At-Large 1: Ben Larson 

Director, Zone 2: Genevieve R. Schaack 

Director, Zone 3: Andy Burke 

Director, Zone 4: Craig B. Marcus 

Director, Zone 5: Art Ayre 

Central Lincoln People’s Utility District

Director, Subdivision 3: Rick Yecny 

Emerald People’s Utility District

Director, Subdivision 4: Brian Parker 

Director, Subdivision 5: Charles Kimball